UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

1-2% leads at 50% across 7 outcomes, with $59K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026 odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
1-2%50%50¢$19K
0-1%48%48¢$12K
<02%2¢$11K
3-4%1%1¢$3K
2-3%0%0¢$4K
4-5%0%0¢$8K
5%+0%0¢$3K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release. If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for UK Annual GDP Growth 2026?
Current odds: 1-2% 50%, 0-1% 48%, <0 2%, 3-4% 1%, 2-3% 0%, 4-5% 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in UK Annual GDP Growth 2026?
1-2% is the market favorite at 50%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $59K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on UK Annual GDP Growth 2026?
$59K has been traded on this market in total, including $540 in the last 24 hours, with $12K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does UK Annual GDP Growth 2026 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 12, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does UK Annual GDP Growth 2026 resolve?
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found i
Where can I bet on UK Annual GDP Growth 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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