1.0-1.5% leads at 33% across 8 outcomes, with $34K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026??
Current odds: 1.0-1.5% 33%, 1.5-2.0% 31%, 2.0-2.5% 23%, 0.0-0.5% 7%, 2.5%+ 6%, 0.5-1.0% 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
1.0-1.5% is the market favorite at 33%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $34K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026??
$34K has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $11K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this
Where can I bet on Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.