0.4-0.6% leads at 69% across 6 outcomes, with $18K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026??
Current odds: 0.4-0.6% 69%, 0.7-0.9% 27%, ≤0.0% 7%, 0.1-0.3% 7%, 1.3%+ 3%, 1.0-1.2% 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?
0.4-0.6% is the market favorite at 69%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $18K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026??
$18K has been traded on this market in total, including $85 in the last 24 hours, with $3K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last availabl
Where can I bet on Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.