As of today the market prices Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats at 42% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Bibi” (Netanyahu bloc) if Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu.
This market will resolve to “Opp.” (opposition bloc) if The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas.
Seats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.
If both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to the bloc whose named parties received the greater combined total of valid votes, counting only the votes of named parties that pass the electoral threshold. If the blocs remain tied, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats??
The market currently prices this at 42% (42¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? is the market favorite at 42%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $63K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats??
$63K has been traded on this market in total, including $16K in the last 24 hours, with $46K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? resolve?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Bibi” (Netanyahu bloc) if Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu.
This market will resolve to “Opp.” (opposition bloc) if The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas.
Seats won by any party not named above will not cou
Where can I bet on Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.