As of today the market prices Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority at 19% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? odds
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of 61 seats or more in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election: (a) The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu; or (b) Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority??
The market currently prices this at 19% (19¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? is the market favorite at 19%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $42K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority??
$42K has been traded on this market in total, including $10K in the last 24 hours, with $55K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? resolve?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of 61 seats or more in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election: (a) The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu; or (b) Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.
This market
Where can I bet on Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.