Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

1000+ leads at 30% across 46 outcomes, with $60K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
1000+30%30¢$4K
960-99915%15¢$4K
840-87914%14¢$5K
880-91914%14¢$6K
800-83913%13¢$7K
920-95911%11¢$4K
780-7996%$3K
760-7793%$1K
740-7592%$850
600-6191%$783
620-6391%$850
640-6591%$704
660-6791%$700
680-6991%$702
720-7391%$2K

31 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026??
Current odds: 1000+ 30%, 960-999 15%, 840-879 14%, 880-919 14%, 800-839 13%, 920-959 11%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+ is the market favorite at 30%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $60K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026??
$60K has been traded on this market in total, including $7K in the last 24 hours, with $90K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.
Where can I bet on Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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