2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
As of today the market prices 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026 at 1% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? odds
Outcome
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2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Container shipping through the Suez Canal has been severely impacted since late 2023 due to security concerns in the Red Sea related to Houthi attacks, with major carriers rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope. Prior to these concerns, the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) reported 5,847 container ship transits for the full year of 2023, or about 2,923 container ship transits per half-year. Following the Houthi attacks, the number of container ships transiting the canal has dropped significantly, with a reported average of around 874 container ship transits of the canal per half-year in 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 2000 or more container ship transits of the Suez Canal during the first two quarters of 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be the Suez Canal Authority (SCA), specifically the number of “Container Ships” reported in the SCA “Quarter Number & Net Ton by Ship Type” reports for Q1 & Q2 2026 (https://www.suezcanal.gov.eg/English/Navigation/Pages/NavigationStatistics.aspx). If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another SCA resolution source may be chosen. If the SCA does not publish specific data on the number of container ship transits of the Suez Canal for the first and second quarters of 2026, or for the first half of 2026, by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, credible third-party maritime data providers (e.g., IMF PortWatch, Clarkson Research, or Lloyd's List), citing SCA figures or satellite tracking data, will be used to determine the count, with the relevant time period being January 1, 2026 through June 30, 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026??
The market currently prices this at 1% (1¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? is the market favorite at 1%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $155K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026??
$155K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $795 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? resolve?
Container shipping through the Suez Canal has been severely impacted since late 2023 due to security concerns in the Red Sea related to Houthi attacks, with major carriers rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope. Prior to these concerns, the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) reported 5,847 container ship transits for the full year of 2023, or about 2,923 container ship transits per half-year. Following the Houthi attacks, the number of container ships transiting the canal has dropped significantly, with a reported average of around 874 container ship transits of the canal per half-year in 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 2000 or more container ship transits of the Suez Canal dur
Where can I bet on 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.