This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026??
Current odds: 1.1m 86%, 1.2m 53%, 1.3m 29%, 1.4m 10%, 1.5m 5%, 1.7m 3%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1.1m is the market favorite at 86%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $175K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026??
$175K has been traded on this market in total, including $6 in the last 24 hours, with $5K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 28, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or
Where can I bet on Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.