As of today the market prices Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by... at 30% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...??
The market currently prices this at 30% (30¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31 is the market favorite at 30%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $2.1M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...??
$2.1M has been traded on this market in total, including $248 in the last 24 hours, with $17K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Where can I bet on Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.