Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez leads at 94% across 16 outcomes, with $390K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Delcy Rodríguez94%94¢$104K
María Corina Machado4%4¢$53K
Dinorah Figuera1%1¢$5K
Marco Rubio1%1¢$6K
No Head of State1%1¢$67K
Nicolás Maduro0%0¢$4K
Diosdado Cabello Rondón0%0¢$4K
Jorge Rodríguez0%0¢$8K
Edmundo González0%0¢$4K
Donald Trump0%0¢$3K
Vladimir Padrino López0%0¢$68K
Evan Pettus0%0¢$7K
Dan Caine0%0¢$3K
Pete Hegseth0%0¢$3K
Frank Donovan0%0¢$42K

1 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026??
Current odds: Delcy Rodríguez 94%, María Corina Machado 4%, Dinorah Figuera 1%, Marco Rubio 1%, No Head of State 1%, Nicolás Maduro 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez is the market favorite at 94%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $390K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026??
$390K has been traded on this market in total, including $123 in the last 24 hours, with $206K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will res
Where can I bet on Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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