Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro leads at 82% across 16 outcomes, with $94.6M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Venezuela leader end of 2026? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Nicolás Maduro82%82¢$2.5M
Delcy Rodríguez10%10¢$1.7M
María Corina Machado3%3¢$1.4M
Jorge Rodríguez1%1¢$1.1M
No Head of State1%1¢$1.5M
Edmundo González0%0¢$1.2M
Diosdado Cabello Rondón0%0¢$2.1M
Dinorah Figuera0%0¢$2.9M
Donald Trump0%0¢$1.1M
Vladimir Padrino López0%0¢$789K
Marco Rubio0%0¢$1.3M
Pete Hegseth0%0¢$9.1M
Evan Pettus0%0¢$5.6M
Frank Donovan0%0¢$25.7M
Dan Caine0%0¢$4.1M

1 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Venezuela leader end of 2026??
Current odds: Nicolás Maduro 82%, Delcy Rodríguez 10%, María Corina Machado 3%, Jorge Rodríguez 1%, No Head of State 1%, Edmundo González 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro is the market favorite at 82%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $94.6M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Venezuela leader end of 2026??
$94.6M has been traded on this market in total, including $124K in the last 24 hours, with $1.8M of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Venezuela leader end of 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Venezuela leader end of 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one off
Where can I bet on Venezuela leader end of 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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