Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
As of today the market prices Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child at 3% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? odds
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Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
On January 12, Elon Musk announced he would be filing for full custody of the child he shares with Ashley St. Clair. (see: https://www.eonline.com/news/1427282/elon-musk-filing-for-full-custody-of-son-with-ashley-st-clair)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded sole legal custody, or primary residential/physical custody of his son Romulus in the form of a final order by any U.S. court by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary custody orders or interim arrangements will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution unless they become final orders by the stated market deadline.
This market will resolve immediately to "No" if all relevant court proceedings permanently cease, or are dropped by either party.
This market will resolve based on announcements from Elon Musk, Ashley St. Clair, their official legal or social media representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child??
The market currently prices this at 3% (3¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? is the market favorite at 3%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $9K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child??
$9K has been traded on this market in total, including $14 in the last 24 hours, with $94 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? resolve?
On January 12, Elon Musk announced he would be filing for full custody of the child he shares with Ashley St. Clair. (see: https://www.eonline.com/news/1427282/elon-musk-filing-for-full-custody-of-son-with-ashley-st-clair)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded sole legal custody, or primary residential/physical custody of his son Romulus in the form of a final order by any U.S. court by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary custody orders or interim arrangements will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution unless they become final orders by the stated market deadline.
This market will resolve immediately to "No
Where can I bet on Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.