Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk leads at 96% across 10 outcomes, with $1.9M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Richest person on December 31, 2026? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
Elon Musk96%96¢$179K
Jensen Huang1%$177K
Warren Buffett1%$88K
Larry Page1%$143K
Sergey Brin1%$85K
Larry Ellison0%$58K
Mark Zuckerberg0%$131K
Bernard Arnault0%$365K
Jeff Bezos0%$337K
Steve Ballmer0%$308K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Richest person on December 31, 2026??
Current odds: Elon Musk 96%, Jensen Huang 1%, Warren Buffett 1%, Larry Page 1%, Sergey Brin 1%, Larry Ellison 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk is the market favorite at 96%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.9M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Richest person on December 31, 2026??
$1.9M has been traded on this market in total, including $165 in the last 24 hours, with $59K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Richest person on December 31, 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Richest person on December 31, 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Where can I bet on Richest person on December 31, 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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