Ursula von der Leyen leads at 36% across 8 outcomes, with $795K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31??
Current odds: Ursula von der Leyen 36%, Mark Rutte 35%, Melania Trump 10%, Mark Carney 8%, António Guterres 8%, Emmanuel Macron 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Ursula von der Leyen is the market favorite at 36%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $795K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Who will visit Ukraine by December 31??
$795K has been traded on this market in total, including $266 in the last 24 hours, with $78K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Where can I bet on Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.