U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
As of today the market prices U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? at 7% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? odds
Outcome
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Volume
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? ?
The market currently prices this at 7% (7¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? ?
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? is the market favorite at 7%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $73K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? ?
$73K has been traded on this market in total, including $2 in the last 24 hours, with $4K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? ?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.