How many jobs added in July?

50k – 100k leads at 28% across 6 outcomes, with $16K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

How many jobs added in July? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
50k – 100k28%28¢$5K
0 – 50k26%26¢$4K
150k – 200k19%19¢$3K
100k – 150k17%17¢$1K
<010%10¢$3K
200k+8%$373

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for July 2026, scheduled to be released on August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for How many jobs added in July??
Current odds: 50k – 100k 28%, 0 – 50k 26%, 150k – 200k 19%, 100k – 150k 17%, <0 10%, 200k+ 8%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in How many jobs added in July?
50k – 100k is the market favorite at 28%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $16K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on How many jobs added in July??
$16K has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $25K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does How many jobs added in July? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 7, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does How many jobs added in July? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for July 2026, scheduled to be released on August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Where can I bet on How many jobs added in July?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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