This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026??
Current odds: 6 62%, 7 28%, 8 6%, 9 1%, 10+ 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
6 is the market favorite at 62%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $60K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026??
$60K has been traded on this market in total, including $679 in the last 24 hours, with $66K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Where can I bet on How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.