0.0 to 0.1% leads at 58% across 6 outcomes, with $4K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)?
Current odds: 0.0 to 0.1% 58%, <0.0% 27%, 0.2 to 0.3% 14%, 0.4 to 0.5% 4%, 0.6 to 0.7% 4%, 0.8%+ 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)?
0.0 to 0.1% is the market favorite at 58%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $4K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)?
$4K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $3K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM) resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 29, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM) resolve?
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is s
Where can I bet on Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.