-0.3% to -0.1% leads at 32% across 7 outcomes, with $8K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
Current odds: -0.3% to -0.1% 32%, 0.0% to 0.2% 28%, 0.3% to 0.5% 9%, <-0.3% 8%, 0.6% to 0.8% 8%, 0.9% to 1.1% 8%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
-0.3% to -0.1% is the market favorite at 32%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $8K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
$8K has been traded on this market in total, including $5K in the last 24 hours, with $5K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 2, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? resolve?
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter.
Where can I bet on Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.