Larry Page leads at 43% across 11 outcomes, with $29K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for 3rd richest person on December 31??
Current odds: Larry Page 43%, Bernard Arnault 39%, Elon Musk 37%, Michael Dell 37%, Warren Buffett 35%, Steve Ballmer 30%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in 3rd richest person on December 31?
Larry Page is the market favorite at 43%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $29K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on 3rd richest person on December 31??
$29K has been traded on this market in total, with $11K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does 3rd richest person on December 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 3, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does 3rd richest person on December 31? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Where can I bet on 3rd richest person on December 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.