Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Lebanon leads at 9% across 16 outcomes, with $774K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31??
Current odds: Lebanon 9%, Venezuela 9%, Tunisia 7%, Kuwait 7%, Iraq 6%, Pakistan 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Lebanon is the market favorite at 9%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $774K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31??
$774K has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $270K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where can I bet on Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.