0.6–0.7% leads at 54% across 7 outcomes, with $46K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
Current odds: 0.6–0.7% 54%, 0.8–0.9% 24%, 0.4–0.5% 16%, 1.0%+ 6%, 0.2–0.3% 4%, 0.0–0.1% 2%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.6–0.7% is the market favorite at 54%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $46K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)??
$46K has been traded on this market in total, including $214 in the last 24 hours, with $7K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 13, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what
Where can I bet on UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.