Precipitation in Seattle in July?

<0.5" leads at 96% across 7 outcomes, with $5K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Precipitation in Seattle in July? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
<0.5"96%96¢$856
0.5-1"36%36¢$270
1-1.5"5%$195
1.5-2"2%$147
2-2.5"1%$3K
2.5-3"1%$260
>3"1%$183

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Precipitation in Seattle in July??
Current odds: <0.5" 96%, 0.5-1" 36%, 1-1.5" 5%, 1.5-2" 2%, 2-2.5" 1%, 2.5-3" 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5" is the market favorite at 96%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $5K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Precipitation in Seattle in July??
$5K has been traded on this market in total, including $244 in the last 24 hours, with $2K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Precipitation in Seattle in July? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Precipitation in Seattle in July? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 dec
Where can I bet on Precipitation in Seattle in July?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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