This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in July, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for July 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of July 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Precipitation in London in July??
Current odds: <30mm 99%, 30-40mm 3%, 70-80mm 1%, 40-50mm 0%, 50-60mm 0%, 60-70mm 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Precipitation in London in July?
<30mm is the market favorite at 99%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $12K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Precipitation in London in July??
$12K has been traded on this market in total, including $206 in the last 24 hours, with $5K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Precipitation in London in July? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Precipitation in London in July? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in July, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for July 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of July 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for th
Where can I bet on Precipitation in London in July?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.