This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Netanyahu out by...??
The market currently prices this at 37% (37¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Netanyahu out by...?
December 31 is the market favorite at 37%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $123.8M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Netanyahu out by...??
$123.8M has been traded on this market in total, including $102K in the last 24 hours, with $94K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Netanyahu out by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Netanyahu out by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Where can I bet on Netanyahu out by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.