Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
As of today the market prices Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by... at 6% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...? odds
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada.
A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada.
A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify.
Whether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...??
The market currently prices this at 6% (6¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
August 31 is the market favorite at 6%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $240K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...??
$240K has been traded on this market in total, including $12K in the last 24 hours, with $16K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mykhailo Fedorov is reinstated as Ukraine’s Minister of Defense by the listed date at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada.
A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nominati
Where can I bet on Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.