December 31 leads at 22% across 4 outcomes, with $6.1M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...??
Current odds: December 31 22%, September 30 12%, August 31 7%, July 31 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31 is the market favorite at 22%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $6.1M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...??
$6.1M has been traded on this market in total, including $68K in the last 24 hours, with $83K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on April 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, an
Where can I bet on Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.