July Inflation US - Monthly

≥0.1% leads at 61% across 9 outcomes, with $57K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

July Inflation US - Monthly odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
≥0.1%61%61¢$34K
0.0%30%30¢$14K
-0.1%7%$2K
≤-0.7%5%$1K
-0.4%1%$1K
-0.3%1%$1K
-0.2%1%$1K
-0.6%0%$1K
-0.5%0%$873

Market details

Resolution rules

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for July Inflation US - Monthly?
Current odds: ≥0.1% 61%, 0.0% 30%, -0.1% 7%, ≤-0.7% 5%, -0.4% 1%, -0.3% 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in July Inflation US - Monthly?
≥0.1% is the market favorite at 61%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $57K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on July Inflation US - Monthly?
$57K has been traded on this market in total, including $414 in the last 24 hours, with $19K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does July Inflation US - Monthly resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 12, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does July Inflation US - Monthly resolve?
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution
Where can I bet on July Inflation US - Monthly?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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