4.1-4.4% leads at 32% across 10 outcomes, with $30K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for South Africa Annual Inflation 2026?
Current odds: 4.1-4.4% 32%, 3.8-4.1% 18%, 4.7-5.0% 12%, 3.2-3.5% 9%, 3.5-3.8% 9%, 4.4-4.7% 9%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in South Africa Annual Inflation 2026?
4.1-4.4% is the market favorite at 32%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $30K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on South Africa Annual Inflation 2026?
$30K has been traded on this market in total, including $177 in the last 24 hours, with $8K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does South Africa Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does South Africa Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released
Where can I bet on South Africa Annual Inflation 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.