Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49% leads at 39% across 10 outcomes, with $78K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026 odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
5.00-5.49%39%39¢$9K
4.50-4.99%29%29¢$11K
5.50-5.99%12%12¢$8K
4.00-4.49%5%5¢$10K
3.50-3.99%3%3¢$13K
6.50-6.99%3%3¢$6K
<3.00%2%2¢$5K
6.00-6.49%2%2¢$6K
7.00%+2%2¢$4K
3.00-3.49%1%1¢$5K

Market details

Resolution rules

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report. The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Brazil Annual Inflation 2026?
Current odds: 5.00-5.49% 39%, 4.50-4.99% 29%, 5.50-5.99% 12%, 4.00-4.49% 5%, 3.50-3.99% 3%, 6.50-6.99% 3%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Brazil Annual Inflation 2026?
5.00-5.49% is the market favorite at 39%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $78K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Brazil Annual Inflation 2026?
$78K has been traded on this market in total, including $499 in the last 24 hours, with $22K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Brazil Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 12, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Brazil Annual Inflation 2026 resolve?
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report. The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month
Where can I bet on Brazil Annual Inflation 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

Related brazil markets

All Brazil markets on Polymarket →

Track every Polymarket market on the markets page, or see who is trading them on the leaderboard.