As of today the market prices Israel and Syria normalize relations by... at 13% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Israel and Syria normalize relations by...??
The market currently prices this at 13% (13¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026 is the market favorite at 13%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $2.1M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Israel and Syria normalize relations by...??
$2.1M has been traded on this market in total, including $2K in the last 24 hours, with $7K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Israel and Syria normalize relations by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Israel and Syria normalize relations by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.