As of today the market prices Will Venezuela become 51st state at 3% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Venezuela become 51st state??
The market currently prices this at 3% (3¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Will Venezuela become 51st state? is the market favorite at 3%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $387K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Venezuela become 51st state??
$387K has been traded on this market in total, including $9 in the last 24 hours, with $56K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Venezuela become 51st state? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Venezuela become 51st state? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting
Where can I bet on Will Venezuela become 51st state?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.