Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
As of today the market prices Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by... at 13% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...??
The market currently prices this at 13% (13¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
December 31 is the market favorite at 13%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $26K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...??
$26K has been traded on this market in total, including $210 in the last 24 hours, with $14K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market wi
Where can I bet on Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.