As of today the market prices Rain during the United States Grand Prix at 2% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix taking place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point.
This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after November 2, 2026, this market resolves "No".
Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix will qualify.
If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by November 2, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Rain during the United States Grand Prix??
The market currently prices this at 2% (2¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Rain during the United States Grand Prix?
Rain during the United States Grand Prix? is the market favorite at 2%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $3K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Rain during the United States Grand Prix??
$3K has been traded on this market in total, including $739 in the last 24 hours, with $191 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Rain during the United States Grand Prix? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Rain during the United States Grand Prix? resolve?
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix taking place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point.
This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the res
Where can I bet on Rain during the United States Grand Prix?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.