Harry Kane leads at 73% across 31 outcomes, with $83.3M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
Current odds: Harry Kane 73%, Kylian Mbappé 19%, Lamine Yamal 8%, Lionel Messi 1%, Erling Haaland 0%, Jude Bellingham 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
Harry Kane is the market favorite at 73%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $83.3M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
$83.3M has been traded on this market in total, including $17.9M in the last 24 hours, with $41.2M of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Where can I bet on Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.