This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will gas hit __ by end of September??
Current odds: ↑ $4.30 96%, ↑ $4.40 42%, ↑ $4.50 29%, ↓ $4.00 23%, ↓ $3.90 11%, ↓ $3.70 7%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will gas hit __ by end of September?
↑ $4.30 is the market favorite at 96%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $3K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will gas hit __ by end of September??
$3K has been traded on this market in total, including $510 in the last 24 hours, with $11K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will gas hit __ by end of September? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will gas hit __ by end of September? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Where can I bet on Will gas hit __ by end of September?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.