Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 2028 leads at 40% across 3 outcomes, with $231 traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? odds
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI.
A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that a problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.
A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___??
Current odds: December 31, 2028 40%, December 31, 2027 39%, December 31, 2026 16%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
December 31, 2028 is the market favorite at 40%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $231 through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___??
$231 has been traded on this market in total, including $231 in the last 24 hours, with $935 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying declaration by CMI that one of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, regardless of whether the solution takes the form of a positive proof, counterexample, disproof, or any other resolution accepted by CMI.
A Millennium Prize award will qual
Where can I bet on Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.