Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

320-339 leads at 51% across 16 outcomes, with $1.6M traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
320-33951%51¢$76K
340-35936%36¢$130K
360-3798%8¢$73K
300-3195%5¢$100K
380-3991%1¢$71K
280-2990%0¢$161K
400-4190%0¢$72K
420-4390%0¢$61K
440-4590%0¢$53K
460-4790%0¢$46K
480-4990%0¢$46K
500-5190%0¢$34K
520-5390%0¢$25K
540-5590%0¢$21K
560-5790%0¢$20K

1 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026??
Current odds: 320-339 51%, 340-359 36%, 360-379 8%, 300-319 5%, 380-399 1%, 280-299 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
320-339 is the market favorite at 51%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $1.6M through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026??
$1.6M has been traded on this market in total, including $429K in the last 24 hours, with $271K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at h
Where can I bet on Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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