Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
As of today the market prices Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year at 10% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? odds
Outcome
Chance
Price
Volume
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year??
The market currently prices this at 10% (10¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? is the market favorite at 10%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $10K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year??
$10K has been traded on this market in total, including $92 in the last 24 hours, with $572 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 16, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying releas
Where can I bet on Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.