Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 2026 leads at 79% across 9 outcomes, with $110K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? odds
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026??
Current odds: None in 2026 79%, Anthropic 10%, Google 9%, OpenAI 3%, xAI 1%, DeepSeek 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 2026 is the market favorite at 79%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $110K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026??
$110K has been traded on this market in total, including $118 in the last 24 hours, with $13K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution so
Where can I bet on Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.