GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?

November 12 leads at 38% across 25 outcomes, with $107K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
November 1238%38¢$15K
November 1614%14¢$887
November 2610%10¢$757
No release by November 3010%10¢$18K
November 115%5¢$3K
November 94%4¢$8K
November 104%4¢$4K
November 142%2¢$2K
November 152%2¢$2K
November 172%2¢$774
November 202%2¢$688
November 302%2¢$679
November 71%1¢$4K
November 181%1¢$1K
November 191%1¢$576

10 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...??
Current odds: November 12 38%, November 16 14%, November 26 10%, No release by November 30 10%, November 11 5%, November 9 4%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?
November 12 is the market favorite at 38%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $107K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...??
$107K has been traded on this market in total, including $11K in the last 24 hours, with $74K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 1, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Da
Where can I bet on GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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