Houston, TX leads at 50% across 10 outcomes, with $391 traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on November 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. A governing report that gives the figure as missing ("M" or "MM") is treated as reporting 0.00 inches, and this market will resolve to "No". If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Where will it rain on November 7??
Current odds: Houston, TX 50%, Miami, FL 50%, New Orleans, LA 50%, Los Angeles, CA 49%, Washington, DC 49%, Atlanta, GA 49%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Where will it rain on November 7?
Houston, TX is the market favorite at 50%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $391 through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Where will it rain on November 7??
$391 has been traded on this market in total, including $29 in the last 24 hours, with $651 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Where will it rain on November 7? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 8, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Where will it rain on November 7? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on November 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Each city is an independent
Where can I bet on Where will it rain on November 7?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.