What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

The Hawk: Season 1 leads at 99% across 18 outcomes, with $31K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

What will be the top US Netflix show this week? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
The Hawk: Season 199%99¢$18K
Show A50%50¢
Show B50%50¢
Show C50%50¢
Show D50%50¢
Show E50%50¢
Show F50%50¢
Show G50%50¢
Other50%50¢
Ransom Canyon: Season 21%$8K
Little House on the Prairie: Season 10%$376
I Will Find You: Limited Series0%$2K
The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 40%$454
Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 10%$471
Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 20%$536

3 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for What will be the top US Netflix show this week??
Current odds: The Hawk: Season 1 99%, Show A 50%, Show B 50%, Show C 50%, Show D 50%, Show E 50%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
The Hawk: Season 1 is the market favorite at 99%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $31K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on What will be the top US Netflix show this week??
$31K has been traded on this market in total, including $4K in the last 24 hours, with $27K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does What will be the top US Netflix show this week? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 28, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does What will be the top US Netflix show this week? resolve?
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Where can I bet on What will be the top US Netflix show this week?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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