"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
310-320m leads at 15% across 9 outcomes, with $11K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)?
Current odds: 310-320m 15%, 320-330m 15%, <280m 14%, 300-310m 14%, 330-340m 14%, 350m+ 14%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)?
310-320m is the market favorite at 15%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $11K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)?
$11K has been traded on this market in total, including $6K in the last 24 hours, with $10K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes) resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 2, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes) resolve?
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which t
Where can I bet on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.