This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office?
Current odds: >280m 84%, 260-280m 9%, 240-260m 3%, <200m 1%, 200-220m 1%, 220-240m 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office?
>280m is the market favorite at 84%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $261K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office?
$261K has been traded on this market in total, including $40K in the last 24 hours, with $75K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 2, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office resolve?
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which t
Where can I bet on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.