Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

As of today the market prices Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by... at 12% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.

Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
December 3112%12¢$1K
September 303%$1K

Market details

Resolution rules

On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...??
The market currently prices this at 12% (12¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?
December 31 is the market favorite at 12%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $2K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...??
$2K has been traded on this market in total, with $17K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...? resolve?
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit mu
Where can I bet on Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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