"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office

152m+ leads at 63% across 6 outcomes, with $6K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
152m+63%63¢$3K
144-152m31%31¢$231
136-144m18%18¢$1K
128-136m14%14¢$313
120-128m10%10¢$1K
<120m6%$208

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office?
Current odds: 152m+ 63%, 144-152m 31%, 136-144m 18%, 128-136m 14%, 120-128m 10%, <120m 6%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office?
152m+ is the market favorite at 63%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $6K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office?
$6K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $18K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office resolve?
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic re
Where can I bet on "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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