People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

No Change leads at 65% across 3 outcomes, with $23K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

People's Bank of China rate change by September 30? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
No Change65%65¢$10K
Decrease37%37¢$11K
Increase0%$2K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for People's Bank of China rate change by September 30??
Current odds: No Change 65%, Decrease 37%, Increase 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
No Change is the market favorite at 65%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $23K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on People's Bank of China rate change by September 30??
$23K has been traded on this market in total, including $588 in the last 24 hours, with $8K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does People's Bank of China rate change by September 30? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does People's Bank of China rate change by September 30? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a cha
Where can I bet on People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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