December 31, 2029 leads at 20% across 3 outcomes, with $161K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...??
Current odds: December 31, 2029 20%, December 31, 2028 17%, December 31, 2027 16%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029 is the market favorite at 20%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $161K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...??
$161K has been traded on this market in total, including $69K in the last 24 hours, with $207K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where can I bet on OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.