October leads at 90% across 4 outcomes, with $75K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.
This market will resolve according to the calendar month of 2026 with the highest total rainfall at Melbourne (Olympic Park), Bureau of Meteorology station number 086338.
Monthly rainfall is the total of all daily rainfall observations for that month, each nominally recorded at 9 am local time for the preceding 24 hours, as published in the Bureau of Meteorology's Monthly rainfall table for station 086338. Rainfall is reported in millimetres to 1 decimal place, and that is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Each month will be resolved on the figure as first published. Revisions issued after first publication will not be considered. The totals already published for January through September 2026 are final for the purposes of this market, and August, at 66.0 mm, is the highest of them, so only the four listed months can finish as the wettest month of 2026.
If two or more months tie for the highest total, this market will resolve to the earliest of the tied months.
The resolution source for this market is the Bureau of Meteorology Monthly rainfall table for Melbourne (Olympic Park), available here: http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/ncc/cdio/weatherData/av?p_nccObsCode=139&p_display_type=dataFile&p_stn_num=086338. If the figure for December 2026 is not available by January 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open for a period of up to three (3) calendar days (ET) to allow the figure to be published. If no figure is published within that period, the December market will resolve to "No", and this market will resolve according to the month with the highest published total among August, October and November.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Melbourne's wettest month of 2026??
Current odds: October 90%, November 8%, December 3%, August 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?
October is the market favorite at 90%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $75K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Melbourne's wettest month of 2026??
$75K has been traded on this market in total, including $164 in the last 24 hours, with $6K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 9, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the calendar month of 2026 with the highest total rainfall at Melbourne (Olympic Park), Bureau of Meteorology station number 086338.
Monthly rainfall is the total of all daily rainfall observations for that month, each nominally recorded at 9 am local time for the preceding 24 hours, as published in the Bureau of Meteorology's Monthly rainfall table for station 086338. Rainfall is reported in millimetres to 1 decimal place, and that is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Each month will be resolved on the figure as first published. Revisions issued after first publication will not be considered. The totals already publi
Where can I bet on Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.